Obama Won Texas, Not Clinton!

Posted on March 8, 2008 
Filed Under Democratic Primary, Election 2008

 

It is time for the media to rethink the narrative that has emerged over the past week.  Momentum has shifted to Hillary Clinton on the belief that she took 3 of 4 contests on Tuesday including wins in the big states - Texas and Ohio.  Not so fast.

Remember that Texas holds this bizarre hybrid contest known as the “primacaucus”, with a primary during the day and a caucus at night.  Declarations of Hillary’s razor thin Texas win were based solely on the primary portion of the contests; the Texas caucus results were not yet calculated.  While the final caucus results might not be published for months, NPR is reporting that with 41% of the Texas caucus vote in, Obama currently enjoys an insurmountable lead of 56% - 44%.  This will give Obama a 7 delegate edge in the Texas caucus and a 3 delegate edge for the entire Texas contest.  This means Barack Obama won Texas and not Clinton.  This changes the story dramatically.

  All the “Obama can’t win the big state” arguments are out the window as he has won the biggest state of all.  There was no upset Tuesday night; a split was the outcome the Obama camp expected, what the polls predicted, and what the Clinton campaign was suggesting could not be overcome just a few weeks ago.

 The media love a good story and Clinton rising from the dead certain makes for good copy.  The only problem is it isn’t reality. There was no upset.  Instead of trouncing Obama 3 states to 1 on Tuesday, the two Democratic candidates split the night.  The delegate count was essentially unchanged and thus the story should have remained unchanged, but spin is a powerful thing and the Clintons, having birthed the “spin room”, are the masters at it.  This is sort of like the back page retraction after a hatchet job has attached itself to the public consciousness.  Will the media jump on this story now that it is a real story? 

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